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OATS Technical Analysis - OATS Trading: 2020-05-08
Oats Technical Analysis Summary
Above 295.8
Buy Stop
Below 275.6
Stop Loss
Indicator | Signal |
RSI | Neutral |
MACD | Buy |
Donchian Channel | Neutral |
MA(200) | Buy |
Fractals | Buy |
Parabolic SAR | Buy |
Oats Chart Analysis
Oats Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe the #C-OATS: D1 is rising above the 200-day moving average MA(200) which is rising itself. We believe the bullish momentum will continue after the price breaches above the upper Donchian boundary at 295.8. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to buy. The stop loss can be placed below 275.6. After placing the pending order the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal low, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop-loss level (275.6) without reaching the order (295.8) we recommend cancelling the order: the market sustains internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Commodities - Oats
Shifting consumer preference towards consuming healthy food benefits oats. Will the oats prices continue rising?
Oats are among the healthiest grains on earth with studies indicating eating oats and oatmeal contributes to lower blood sugar levels, a reduced risk of heart disease and weight loss. The advent of the coronavirus once again brought into the focus the importance of adequate healthcare and healthy lifestyle. It is expected to reinforce the trend in consumer preference shift towards consuming healthy food, which is likely to increase the demand in the global oats market. Rising demand expectations are bullish for oats. At the same time in Canada, the top world exporter of oats, farmers intend to plant 3.8 million acres of oats in 2020 - 6.3% more acres from a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s Principal field crop areas, March 2020 survey. And in US, the top world importer and sixth largest producer of oats, the Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service ( NASS ) estimates oats planted area for 2020 at 3.01 million acres, up 7 percent from last year, according to Prospective Plantings report released March 31, 2020. Higher supply estimates are a downside risk for oats price.
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