Oportunidades de mercado : Semana 10-11-2025 - 14-11-2025

The U.S. Treasury is holding a 30-year bond auction. The yield, return offered on the bond, is the key number to focus on.

Long-term U.S. bond yields show what investors think about long-term inflation, economic growth, government debt conditions, and the overall value of the U.S. dollar.

Impact on EURUSD

• Higher U.S. yields - stronger USD - EURUSD moves lower
• Lower U.S. yields - weaker USD - EURUSD moves higher

What to Watch and Potential Outcomes

If the auction shows a higher yield than before, it means demand for U.S. bonds was weak, so yields rise.

• Higher yields can attract global money into USD assets, so USD strengthens and EURUSD moves lower.
• If the yield comes in lower, it means strong demand for the bonds, yields fall, USD weakens and EURUSD moves higher.

Also watch:

• U.S. inflation expectations
• Federal Reserve interest rate outlook
• Overall market risk mood

Trade Ideas

• Go Long EURUSD if the auction shows strong demand and the yield drops. This could push EURUSD higher.
• Go Short EURUSD if the yield jumps higher, showing weak demand, which may strengthen USD.

Because markets may react quickly or even price in expectations before 18:00 GMT, consider waiting 20-30 minutes after the release to confirm direction also using tight stop losses to control risk

If the auction result is neutral, EURUSD will likely continue trading in its recent range until new economic data or central bank news drives direction.

What You Need to Keep in Mind

One event rarely moves the currency on its own. For example, even if yields fall, a strong U.S. inflation report later could still push USD higher.

Market expectations are important. If traders expect weak demand already, the actual result must be more extreme to impact prices.

EURUSD also depends on European economic data and ECB policy, not only U.S. conditions.