Opportunités de marché : Semaine 10-11-2025 - 14-11-2025

The ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI for November 3, 2025, is a key economic indicator that measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector and often influences S&P 500 movements. The manufacturing PMI has been contracting for several months, with the September reading at 49.1, slightly above expectations but still below the neutral 50.0 mark, suggesting a modest slowdown. Recent trends show a slight uptick, which is a potential for stabilization.

This release is important because deviations from expectations can trigger immediate volatility in S&P 500 CFDs, with both upside and downside moves.

Market Reaction

• Stronger than Expected PMI (>50) - Bullish for S&P 500 CFDs; will signal expansion, potential upside momentum.
• Weaker than Expected PMI (<49) - Bearish pressure will reinforce slowdown concerns, possible short term drop.
• Volatility Expectation: High around 10:00–10:30 AM EST; spreads may widen.

What You Should Pay Attention To

1. Pre Event:
   • Avoid heavy directional exposure until the number is released.
   • Consider small, hedged positions or straddle strategies to capture volatility (place a buy order above the current market price and a sell order below it allows you to capture a potential price breakout in either direction).
2. Stop-Loss Strategy: Use tight stops, because S&P 500 CFD can spike quickly post release.
3. Follow Related Data: PMI and inflation trends can influence the secondary reaction.
4. Liquidity and Execution: CFDs may experience slippage, so have a plan for order execution post release.

Expect volatility in S&P 500 CFDs around the PMI release. A result above 50 could drive a short term rally, and below expectations - would trigger a sharp drop.